ERR
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Regulatory/Compliance Failure

Theranos

Healthcare / Diagnostics · Collapsed Sep 2018

$700Mraised$700M raised, lab fraud36 monthsadvance warning

Case Summary

Theranos raised $700M claiming revolutionary blood-testing technology. CMS sanctions, whistleblower departures, and investigative journalism exposed systematic fraud. The company dissolved in September 2018.

Peak Signal Scores

News & Events

10

Company Filings

9

Sentiment

8

Workforce

7

Funding

6

Market Position

3

Signal Timeline

Jan 2015NEWS & EVENTS

Wall Street Journal begins investigative reporting on Theranos technology claims.

Oct 2015COMPANY FILINGS

CMS inspection finds serious deficiencies at Newark lab.

Jan 2016COMPANY FILINGS

CMS issues sanctions. Lab operations suspended.

Apr 2016WORKFORCE

Key scientific staff departing. Replacements from non-diagnostic backgrounds.

Jun 2016SENTIMENT

Former employees go public with concerns about data fabrication.

Mar 2018COMPANY FILINGS

SEC charges Holmes with fraud.

Sep 2018COLLAPSE

Theranos formally dissolves.

What ERR Would Have Shown

By 2016, Theranos’s regulatory signals were flashing. CMS had issued sanctions against its lab. Key scientific staff had departed, with replacements coming from non-diagnostic backgrounds. The Wall Street Journal’s investigative reporting added a public sentiment dimension. ERR would have detected the convergence of regulatory action, workforce expertise drain, and adverse media 36 months before the SEC charges — ample time for any LP or lender to exit.

Current Portfolio Matches

No current portfolio companies match this pattern.